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feature/is
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feature/is
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@@ -17,7 +17,7 @@ class Settings(BaseSettings):
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# Google Gemini
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# Google Gemini
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GEMINI_API_KEY: str
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GEMINI_API_KEY: str
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GEMINI_MODEL: str = "gemini-pro"
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GEMINI_MODEL: str = "gemini-2.0-flash"
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# External Data APIs (optional — for data-driven decisions)
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# External Data APIs (optional — for data-driven decisions)
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NEWS_API_KEY: str | None = None
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NEWS_API_KEY: str | None = None
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"""Auto-generated strategy: v20260220_210124
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Generated at: 2026-02-20T21:01:24.706847+00:00
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Rationale: Auto-evolved from 6 failures. Primary failure markets: ['US_AMEX', 'US_NYSE', 'US_NASDAQ']. Average loss: -194.69
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"""
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from __future__ import annotations
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from typing import Any
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from src.strategies.base import BaseStrategy
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class Strategy_v20260220_210124(BaseStrategy):
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"""Strategy: v20260220_210124"""
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def evaluate(self, market_data: dict[str, Any]) -> dict[str, Any]:
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import datetime
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# --- Strategy Constants ---
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# Minimum price for a stock to be considered for trading (avoids penny stocks)
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MIN_PRICE = 5.0
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# Momentum signal thresholds (stricter than previous failures)
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MOMENTUM_PRICE_CHANGE_THRESHOLD = 7.0 # % price change
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MOMENTUM_VOLUME_RATIO_THRESHOLD = 4.0 # X times average volume
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# Oversold signal thresholds (more conservative)
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OVERSOLD_RSI_THRESHOLD = 25.0 # RSI value (lower means more oversold)
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# Confidence levels
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CONFIDENCE_HOLD = 30
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CONFIDENCE_BUY_OVERSOLD = 65
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CONFIDENCE_BUY_MOMENTUM = 85
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CONFIDENCE_BUY_STRONG_MOMENTUM = 90 # For higher-priced stocks with strong momentum
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# Market hours in UTC (9:30 AM ET to 4:00 PM ET)
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MARKET_OPEN_UTC = datetime.time(14, 30)
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MARKET_CLOSE_UTC = datetime.time(21, 0)
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# Volatile periods within market hours (UTC) to avoid
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# First hour after open (14:30 UTC - 15:30 UTC)
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VOLATILE_OPEN_END_UTC = datetime.time(15, 30)
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# Last 30 minutes before close (20:30 UTC - 21:00 UTC)
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VOLATILE_CLOSE_START_UTC = datetime.time(20, 30)
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current_price = market_data.get('current_price')
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price_change_pct = market_data.get('price_change_pct')
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volume_ratio = market_data.get('volume_ratio') # Assumed pre-computed indicator
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rsi = market_data.get('rsi') # Assumed pre-computed indicator
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timestamp_str = market_data.get('timestamp')
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action = "HOLD"
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confidence = CONFIDENCE_HOLD
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rationale = "Initial HOLD: No clear signal or conditions not met."
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# --- 1. Basic Data Validation ---
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if current_price is None or price_change_pct is None:
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return {"action": "HOLD", "confidence": CONFIDENCE_HOLD,
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"rationale": "Insufficient core data (price or price change) to evaluate."}
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# --- 2. Price Filter: Avoid low-priced/penny stocks ---
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if current_price < MIN_PRICE:
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return {"action": "HOLD", "confidence": CONFIDENCE_HOLD,
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"rationale": f"Avoiding low-priced stock (${current_price:.2f} < ${MIN_PRICE:.2f})."}
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# --- 3. Time Filter: Only trade during core market hours ---
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if timestamp_str:
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try:
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dt_object = datetime.datetime.fromisoformat(timestamp_str)
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current_time_utc = dt_object.time()
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if not (MARKET_OPEN_UTC <= current_time_utc < MARKET_CLOSE_UTC):
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return {"action": "HOLD", "confidence": CONFIDENCE_HOLD,
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"rationale": f"Avoiding trade outside core market hours ({current_time_utc} UTC)."}
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if (MARKET_OPEN_UTC <= current_time_utc < VOLATILE_OPEN_END_UTC) or \
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(VOLATILE_CLOSE_START_UTC <= current_time_utc < MARKET_CLOSE_UTC):
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return {"action": "HOLD", "confidence": CONFIDENCE_HOLD,
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"rationale": f"Avoiding trade during volatile market open/close periods ({current_time_utc} UTC)."}
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except ValueError:
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rationale += " (Warning: Malformed timestamp, time filters skipped)"
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# --- Initialize signal states ---
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has_momentum_buy_signal = False
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has_oversold_buy_signal = False
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# --- 4. Evaluate Enhanced Buy Signals ---
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# Momentum Buy Signal
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if volume_ratio is not None and \
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price_change_pct > MOMENTUM_PRICE_CHANGE_THRESHOLD and \
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volume_ratio > MOMENTUM_VOLUME_RATIO_THRESHOLD:
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has_momentum_buy_signal = True
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rationale = f"Momentum BUY: Price change {price_change_pct:.2f}%, Volume {volume_ratio:.2f}x."
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confidence = CONFIDENCE_BUY_MOMENTUM
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if current_price >= 10.0:
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confidence = CONFIDENCE_BUY_STRONG_MOMENTUM
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# Oversold Buy Signal
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if rsi is not None and rsi < OVERSOLD_RSI_THRESHOLD:
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has_oversold_buy_signal = True
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if not has_momentum_buy_signal:
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rationale = f"Oversold BUY: RSI {rsi:.2f}."
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confidence = CONFIDENCE_BUY_OVERSOLD
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if current_price >= 10.0:
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confidence = min(CONFIDENCE_BUY_OVERSOLD + 5, 80)
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# --- 5. Decision Logic ---
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if has_momentum_buy_signal:
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action = "BUY"
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elif has_oversold_buy_signal:
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action = "BUY"
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return {"action": action, "confidence": confidence, "rationale": rationale}
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@@ -1,97 +0,0 @@
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"""Auto-generated strategy: v20260220_210159
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Generated at: 2026-02-20T21:01:59.391523+00:00
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Rationale: Auto-evolved from 6 failures. Primary failure markets: ['US_AMEX', 'US_NYSE', 'US_NASDAQ']. Average loss: -194.69
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"""
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from __future__ import annotations
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from typing import Any
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from src.strategies.base import BaseStrategy
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class Strategy_v20260220_210159(BaseStrategy):
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"""Strategy: v20260220_210159"""
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def evaluate(self, market_data: dict[str, Any]) -> dict[str, Any]:
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import datetime
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current_price = market_data.get('current_price')
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price_change_pct = market_data.get('price_change_pct')
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volume_ratio = market_data.get('volume_ratio')
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rsi = market_data.get('rsi')
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timestamp_str = market_data.get('timestamp')
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market_name = market_data.get('market')
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# Default action
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action = "HOLD"
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confidence = 0
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rationale = "No strong signal or conditions not met."
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# --- FAILURE PATTERN AVOIDANCE ---
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# 1. Avoid low-priced/penny stocks
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MIN_PRICE_THRESHOLD = 5.0 # USD
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if current_price is not None and current_price < MIN_PRICE_THRESHOLD:
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rationale = (
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f"HOLD: Stock price (${current_price:.2f}) is below minimum threshold "
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f"(${MIN_PRICE_THRESHOLD:.2f}). Past failures consistently involved low-priced stocks."
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)
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return {"action": action, "confidence": confidence, "rationale": rationale}
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# 2. Avoid early market hour volatility
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if timestamp_str:
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try:
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dt_obj = datetime.datetime.fromisoformat(timestamp_str)
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utc_hour = dt_obj.hour
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utc_minute = dt_obj.minute
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if (utc_hour == 14 and utc_minute < 45) or (utc_hour == 13 and utc_minute >= 30):
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rationale = (
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f"HOLD: Trading during early market hours (UTC {utc_hour}:{utc_minute}), "
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f"a period identified with past failures due to high volatility."
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)
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return {"action": action, "confidence": confidence, "rationale": rationale}
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except ValueError:
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pass
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# --- IMPROVED BUY STRATEGY ---
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# Momentum BUY signal
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if volume_ratio is not None and price_change_pct is not None:
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if price_change_pct > 7.0 and volume_ratio > 3.0:
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action = "BUY"
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confidence = 70
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rationale = "Improved BUY: Momentum signal with high volume and above price threshold."
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if market_name == 'US_AMEX':
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confidence = max(55, confidence - 5)
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rationale += " (Adjusted lower for AMEX market's higher risk profile)."
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elif market_name == 'US_NASDAQ' and price_change_pct > 20:
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confidence = max(50, confidence - 10)
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rationale += " (Adjusted lower for aggressive NASDAQ momentum volatility)."
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if price_change_pct > 15.0:
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confidence = max(50, confidence - 5)
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rationale += " (Caution: Very high daily price change, potential for reversal)."
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return {"action": action, "confidence": confidence, "rationale": rationale}
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# Oversold BUY signal
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if rsi is not None and price_change_pct is not None:
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if rsi < 30 and price_change_pct < -3.0:
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action = "BUY"
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confidence = 65
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rationale = "Improved BUY: Oversold signal with recent decline and above price threshold."
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if market_name == 'US_AMEX':
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confidence = max(50, confidence - 5)
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rationale += " (Adjusted lower for AMEX market's higher risk on oversold assets)."
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if price_change_pct < -10.0:
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confidence = max(45, confidence - 10)
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rationale += " (Caution: Very steep decline, potential falling knife)."
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return {"action": action, "confidence": confidence, "rationale": rationale}
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# If no specific BUY signal, default to HOLD
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return {"action": action, "confidence": confidence, "rationale": rationale}
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@@ -1,88 +0,0 @@
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"""Auto-generated strategy: v20260220_210244
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Generated at: 2026-02-20T21:02:44.387355+00:00
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Rationale: Auto-evolved from 6 failures. Primary failure markets: ['US_AMEX', 'US_NYSE', 'US_NASDAQ']. Average loss: -194.69
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"""
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from __future__ import annotations
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from typing import Any
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from src.strategies.base import BaseStrategy
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class Strategy_v20260220_210244(BaseStrategy):
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"""Strategy: v20260220_210244"""
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def evaluate(self, market_data: dict[str, Any]) -> dict[str, Any]:
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from datetime import datetime
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# Extract required data points safely
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current_price = market_data.get("current_price")
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price_change_pct = market_data.get("price_change_pct")
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volume_ratio = market_data.get("volume_ratio")
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rsi = market_data.get("rsi")
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timestamp_str = market_data.get("timestamp")
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market_name = market_data.get("market")
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stock_code = market_data.get("stock_code", "UNKNOWN")
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# Default action is HOLD with conservative confidence and rationale
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action = "HOLD"
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confidence = 50
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rationale = f"No strong BUY signal for {stock_code} or awaiting more favorable conditions after avoiding known failure patterns."
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# --- 1. Failure Pattern Avoidance Filters ---
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# A. Avoid low-priced (penny) stocks
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if current_price is not None and current_price < 5.0:
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return {
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"action": "HOLD",
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"confidence": 50,
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"rationale": f"AVOID {stock_code}: Stock price (${current_price:.2f}) is below minimum threshold ($5.00) for BUY action. Identified past failures on highly volatile, low-priced stocks."
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}
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# B. Avoid initiating BUY trades during identified high-volatility hours
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if timestamp_str:
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try:
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trade_hour = datetime.fromisoformat(timestamp_str).hour
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if trade_hour in [14, 20]:
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return {
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"action": "HOLD",
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"confidence": 50,
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"rationale": f"AVOID {stock_code}: Trading during historically volatile hour ({trade_hour} UTC) where previous BUYs resulted in losses. Prefer to observe market stability."
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}
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except ValueError:
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pass
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# C. Be cautious with extreme momentum spikes
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if volume_ratio is not None and price_change_pct is not None:
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if volume_ratio >= 9.0 and price_change_pct >= 15.0:
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return {
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"action": "HOLD",
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"confidence": 50,
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"rationale": f"AVOID {stock_code}: Extreme short-term momentum detected (price change: +{price_change_pct:.2f}%, volume ratio: {volume_ratio:.1f}x). Historical failures indicate buying into such rapid spikes often leads to reversals."
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}
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# D. Be cautious with "oversold" signals without further confirmation
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if rsi is not None and rsi < 30:
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return {
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"action": "HOLD",
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"confidence": 50,
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"rationale": f"AVOID {stock_code}: Oversold signal (RSI={rsi:.1f}) detected. While often a BUY signal, historical failures on similar 'oversold' trades suggest waiting for stronger confirmation."
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}
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# --- 2. Improved BUY Signal Generation ---
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if volume_ratio is not None and 2.0 <= volume_ratio < 9.0 and \
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price_change_pct is not None and 2.0 <= price_change_pct < 15.0:
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action = "BUY"
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confidence = 70
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rationale = f"BUY {stock_code}: Moderate momentum detected (price change: +{price_change_pct:.2f}%, volume ratio: {volume_ratio:.1f}x). Passed filters for price and extreme momentum, avoiding past failure patterns."
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if market_name in ["US_AMEX", "US_NASDAQ"]:
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confidence = max(60, confidence - 5)
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rationale += f" Adjusted confidence for {market_name} market characteristics."
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elif market_name == "US_NYSE":
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confidence = max(65, confidence)
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confidence = max(50, min(85, confidence))
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return {"action": action, "confidence": confidence, "rationale": rationale}
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Reference in New Issue
Block a user